Weekend projections: Bloodlines lands with excellent $51-million debut

Final Destination: Bloodlines will land with the fifth-biggest weekend of 2025, and a franchise-best $51-million opening this weekend. That beats even the inflation-adjusted $41.3 million earned by The Final Destination on its opening weekend back in 2009.

Here are the official studio projections for the three-day weekend (click the image for a full chart of all films reporting so far):

Bloodlines’ opening is the third hit in a row for Warner Bros., following A Minecraft Movie and Sinners, and the studio now leads Disney by over $100 million in what is essentially a two-horse race (so far) for top-earning studio in 2025.

Final Destination is highly unlikely to have a second weekend anything like Sinners did, but our model is predicting its final box office at a little over $150 million right now. With another $51 million from international territories this weekend, the film should end with something around $300 million in total worldwide, making it highly profitable, based on an estimated $50-million production budget (and maybe the same again to market).

Warner Bros. has three films in the top five this weekend, partly because Hurry Up Tomorrow is going to start out with a modest $3.3 million for Lionsgate. The studio’s distribution deal means it apparently won’t lose money on this film, but it’s not going to earn a lot from it either. Given that $1.65 million (exactly half) of the weekend total came from early screenings and previews, the actual opening is basically $2 million. The Weeknd can make more than that from a concert, but the movie does serve as useful advertising for his new album and tour. Conceptually, this kind of tie-in is a good idea, but it’s hard to know what the results are in practice.

The other big news of the weekend is A24’s expansion of Friendship, which will earn around $1.4 million on its second weekend, after having a monster $75,000-per-theater debut last weekend. The film now has over $2 million domestically, while only playing in 60 theaters so far. It looks set to expand significantly, and should be interesting counter-programming to the blockbusters to come as Summer gets into full swing.

– Studio weekend projections

– All-time top-grossing movies in North America

– All-time top-grossing movies worldwide

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Bruce Nash, bruce.nash@the-numbers.com